As expected, we have been put into a Severe Drought out in Western Loudoun and further west. A moderate drought for most of the rest of the area.
We also have a drought emergency for the groundwater levels.
So we are under a drought watch, but it could be an emergency soon!
The forecast is only getting worse for next week!
* Thursday – Hi 78 Lo 51
* Friday – Hi 82 Lo 53
* Saturday – Hi 87 Lo 60
* Sunday – Hi 95 Lo 68
* Monday – Hi 98 Lo 68
* Tuesday – Hi 98 Lo 69
* Wednesday – Hi 96 Lo 68
Not a drop of rain the entire time! I would not be surprised at a few 100-degree temperatures next week!
We will likely see some rain in the next 24 to 26 hours, then turn dry again! The drought remains and seems to worsen before we can improve it.
Here is the 7-day forecast for rain in the region. Yes, Loudoun is the driest look in the area. This is not good for planting grass (which is usually good in fall), and local water concerns will rise. It is time to consider water conservation until we get some good rains.
The long-range shows a return to above-normal temperatures (90s) and below-normal precipitation.
Once we get some stronger cool fronts and contrasting systems this fall, I expect some good rain totals, but we are again on the cusp of showing severe drought in some locations for the next few weeks.
I've attached the 7-day precipitation prediction by the Weather Prediction Center. This is more generous than some of the forecast models.
It is much cooler with some showers in the next few days. We really need rain, especially in western Loudoun. This week turns super nice from Wednesday through Saturday!
I will be watching and praying for those who will be in the path of the new Tropical Storm, likely to be Hurricane, Idalia in the Gulf. We will probably just get some slight impacts from this storm with nice skies (sinking air around tropical systems usually clear skies well beyond the center) and some breezes, but the storm will likely go off the Southeastern coast.
We will warm up some in the long-range and, unfortunately, it still looks drier than usual.