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Loudoun County Weather Outlook for Friday, December 9, 2022

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YES, there does appear to be a winter weather event possible late next week!
 
We have definitely turned to a colder airmass and that looks to stay. Real cold may take a bit longer, but by the end of the year, it could get super cold for a period. 
We ended up being sunny today when the system that was looking to do something literally was eaten alive by the block in place that is filtering in the colder air. We will be only in the 40s for the foreseeable future and nighttime lows are trending colder! 
Next Thursday shows as a huge question mark as there does appear to be at least the threat of wintry weather, but will it transform into a bigger winter storm?? Way too early to get too excited about it! I will do daily updates on that risk. 
The longer-range looks colder than normal and it could trend super cold by the end of the year. 
So, with potential snow and at least colder weather, I am certain you need to think about what to do with animals, snow blowers, etc.! I will start saying that more if we get some more confidence next week! 
All for now! I will do a quick check in after noon model runs!
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Loudoun County Weather Update for Sunday, December 4, 2022

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12/4/2022 – IS THERE HOPE FOR SNOW?
YES – but it may take longer to be realized!

I know I have been a bit down on the pattern, but it looks like things may have been delayed and not denied! The long-range still holds potential for a wintrier pattern. The first piece in the puzzle DOES come into play this week is the Negative NAO. That may be a bit technical, but it sets up a block for storms moving along in the jet stream, which could help form bigger storms, AND keep colder air from retreating so that *COULD* mean some snow or frozen precipitation!

The pattern will be strange this week, and we have a front nearby with several waves of energy. That means that starting Tuesday through Friday, we could see daily showers. Tuesday looks the wettest, whereas the rest of the week looks like showers, although Thursday may turn wetter overnight.

The following week, things *COULD* become better oriented as better cold air and blocking continue, and we get some other energy coming close by! I need to temper any excitement and remember that the models struggle when patterns change. The biggest part of the miss for this week was trapping the cold air on the right side of the block so it would be in our “backyards” for any storms. That was missed big time by models, and they forecasted it would be here! It was not!

This week will be seasonably mild and above normal Thursday before the cooler next weekend.

A more detailed forecast will be posted tomorrow!

All for now

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Loudoun County Weather Outlook for Friday, November 4, 2022

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Nice and warm day with highs around 70. Saturday looks nice with highs in the low 70s. Mid-70s Sunday with some showers possible. Very warm Monday with highs possibly near 80! We turn cooler Tuesday, and then some showers possible next Thursday. This could be the beginning of the changes towards a colder end of the month. There are signs we could look at some snow close by too if things trend the right way! BUT THAT IS WAY OFF!
Enjoy the nice weather!

YES – My winter outlook is overdue! I will get it out by Monday! It is just an educated guess! LOL! 
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Loudoun County Weather Outlook for Monday, October 31, 2022

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Happy Halloween! We will see more showers today than I had hoped. Unfortunately, the most showers look to happen this evening. I do not think it is a washout, but it will be damp. The rest of the week looks dry and very mild. 
The long range still looks warmer than normal but there are signs of patterns changing especially towards mid-month. 
Winter outlook will be coming out in pieces this week! 
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